Prose is not constraints and other things I learned from Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham's NBER talk on AI in empirical research

By mid-2026, I think many researchers understand that coding agents like Claude Code and Codex have dramatically reduced the marginal cost of producing empirical research. And of those who understand this, a growing proportion of them understand that the cost of verification has not fallen proportionally with it. The former seems to have fallen and req…